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Messages - BlackDragonSlayer

#1
The Werewolf Game / Re: TWG CXXIII: ADOFAI Postgame
July 12, 2024, 06:16:15 PM
We have 7 votes, 6 for "yes" on the interest poll. I'll give it until Thursday the 18th before putting up host sign-ups.
#2
f
#3
The Werewolf Game / Re: TWG CXXIII: ADOFAI Postgame
July 04, 2024, 09:12:45 PM
Quote from: Nana1Popo2 on July 04, 2024, 06:43:10 PMI am genuinely curious what about my actions played as wolfy enough to get voted because my mindset going into this game was to just play as vanilla as possible (no strategy, just be honest), and it get me to a lynch x).
I chose TZP D1 because no joke, TZP thought nearly the EXACT same way i did when choosing a candidate hahaha. I was like, "thats something i literally thought to myself... i wonder if they are the other wolf thinking like me."
The irony in that, alone...
IIRC, on my end it was mostly just process of elimination of everybody else not being wolfy enough for me to feel comfortable lynching them. After Specs claimed to me he was off the table.

QuoteAnd someone (i forget who) hit the nail on the head when i said i was sticking to my guts at the end just to throw everyone into a bit of chaos. I knew my time was up, i honestly didnt want to fake claim so i thought, i hope me not claiming will either change votes or make everyone doubt everything. In a way, i got what i wanted 😂
i think that was also tzp lol :P
#4
The Werewolf Game / Re: TWG CXXIII: ADOFAI Postgame
July 04, 2024, 05:22:41 PM
This setup ended up being surprisingly interesting! I'd love to try and see it run with more players so there's more opportunity for crazy shenanigans.

Also, MSF, would you be able to put an interest poll up for the next TWG?
#5
The Werewolf Game / Re: TWG CXXIII: ADOFAI Postgame
July 04, 2024, 05:21:52 PM
The biggest tripping point for me the whole time was wondering why the blue wolf would've chilled and painted Oricorio at the same time. Curious why TZP decided to go for that.
#6
The Werewolf Game / Re: TWG CXXIII: ADOFAI Postgame
July 04, 2024, 05:20:44 PM
Yeahhhhh reading the course of events back I'm not sure how much of a chance we had. Even if you had seered Xiao instead, Xiao would've come up as blue which would've put us in the exact same boat.

N1P2 actually turning out to be the red wolf sure was an interesting twist tho :P
#7
Quote from: SpecsFlyer17 on July 04, 2024, 12:10:57 PMMy thoughts:
wolf!Xiao would probably paint TZP, given the talk of TZP being a wolf.
wolf!TZP would probably paint Xiao, given I've been pretty human leaning on BDS.
wolf!BDS I think would also paint TZP.
This seems pretty reasonable overall.

Unless you have anything else specific to ask me, I don't have anything to add at the moment. I keep trying to run through a bunch of different scenarios to try and make sense of things, but I keep reaching the same conclusion of "overall, I'm ok with leaving my vote where it is for now."
#8
At this point I figure Xiao is more likely to be a wolf than TZP, and I think it's safe to say there's only one wolf left either way. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

Xiao
#9
Specs can, uh, verify that. It was worth a shot to potentially trip up blue wolf TZP.
#10
ONE MORE THING BEFORE I FORGET

If Oricorio was the blue wolf, that means red wolf Specs would've also had to have targeted Oricorio for vote reduction and put a massive target on him by publicly seering him blue. Specs did go to Oricorio about his result first, which as I'm pretty sure I mentioned before, could've forced him into revealing it publicly if wolf Specs thought Oricorio was a human.

...but, correct me if I'm wrong, he could've also just passed it off as a reaction test and faked another seering result to keep the person he vote reduced alive. But would wolf Specs take the chance of it backfiring on him then?

Thinking this over in my tired state I still think red wolf N1P2 is more likely (I think...?). If that's true, then Specs getting a green result would probably be a lot better than getting a color result at this point, since it would definitively clear someone. idk anymore
#11
If N1P2 was the red wolf, Specs can be trusted 100%, and a blue result is either the blue wolf or whoever the blue wolf painted last night. From the perspective of the non-Specs players, the wolf has to be between the two non-Specs players.

If Oricorio was the blue wolf, TZP can be trusted 100%, and the green result on Xiao clears Xiao, meaning mechanically Specs and I are the only two players who could be wolves. From my perspective, that would make Specs a guaranteed wolf.

I feel like figuring thing stuff out could be key to making the right decision.

I need to sleep. I'm just confusing myself even more :-X
#12
If N1P2 was the red wolf, that means that Oricorio was painted and targeted for vote reduction by the blue wolf. Would TZP do that and then seer Oricorio (or at least pretend to have seered Oricorio green)? Would Xiao both paint and target Oricorio for vote reduction?

...actually, now that I say it like that, it kinda makes me trip myself up again and wonder if it's still possible/likely for Oricorio to have been the blue wolf. Why would the blue wolf paint and target Oricorio for vote reduction at the same time?
#13
From my perspective, Xiao and TZP are the two most likely wolves. Tomorrow I'm gonna try and wrap my head around which one of them might be more likely to be the wolf based on what we (probably) know about the gamestate. Will probably try to do that regardless of Specs' results.
#14
I'm fine with both seers revealing seering results as soon as possible. It gives us more to talk about, and any amount of forward momentum could be really helpful.
#15
*plans

No idea what my autocorrect was thinking :P