I myself have no Plana on the 4th, but if others need an extension I'm ok with that.
The monkeys are up to something...
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Show posts MenuQuote from: SpecsFlyer17 on July 02, 2024, 03:56:41 AMWait what? N1P2 got lynched... so everyone knew. Mind explaining?What TZP said. Not knowing N1P2 was the other wolf.
Quote from: SpecsFlyer17 on July 02, 2024, 04:23:30 AMIs it possible that Oricorio was the blue wolf?I think it's possible as long as Oricorio would have believed he needed the extra votes to survive the day.
redwolf!Somebody burned bluewolf!Oricorio and red-paint someone random. Oricorio opted to not chill anyone while blue-painteding someone random. That seems plausible right?
Quote from: XiaoMigros on July 02, 2024, 05:19:40 AMThis to me could quite well be wolf!Oricorio setting up a red herring after seeing he was gonna be lynchedMaybe he didn't want to hit the other wolf and risk screwing them both over? I don't think he would've known for sure he would've been the principal lynch target.
Quote from: TheZeldaPianist275 on July 02, 2024, 09:06:08 AMAll three of these scenarios are unlikely to have happened in a vacuum, but I don't see an alternative to them. I think it comes down to which of these you see as the least unlikely. Right now I think for me personally it's rw!N1P2, since choosing to not fakeclaim seer would seem to fit with statements he made about wanting to take a backseat for the game, but I don't feel strongly about that. I'd be curious to know if any of you have strong feelings about which option it is (or if there's a fourth option I've missed somehow).I'm also inclined to believe that N1P2 was the red wolf as the most likely scenario. Occam's Razor or somethin'
Quote from: SpecsFlyer17 on July 02, 2024, 11:15:06 AMThe problem I have with wolf!N1P2 is just how easy he went down. It's not like he still wins if the other wolf wins. wolf!N1P2's game was 100% on the line, and he took the defeat without even putting up a fight.It's possible he started his defense too late and just knew there was like 0% chance of turning the lynch around once the momentum got started.
That just doesn't make sense.
Quote from: TheZeldaPianist275 on July 01, 2024, 05:22:28 PMAlso, if we were at one wolf going into D2, doesn't that mean Specs is the only seer left whose results have any pull? Oricorio would have to have been painted by the Ice Wolf, since the Fire Wolf is dead.Oricorio could still be the Ice Wolf and one of the wolves just decided not to use their vote power for whatever reason. But I do suspect that N1P2 was the Fire Wolf.
Quote from: SpecsFlyer17 on July 01, 2024, 05:23:56 PMWatch it be wolf!THC who tried to play some insane mind game by shooting himself and then looking innocent when he only has .5 votes.lololololololol
Quote from: TheZeldaPianist275 on July 01, 2024, 05:24:36 PMI can do you one better: the best reason I can see for a purposeful blank is mentally flashbanging the remainder of the lobby, as we have beenalso very true
Quote from: SpecsFlyer17 on July 01, 2024, 05:14:48 PMUnless a wolf purposely didn't chill/burn someone D2 to create the illusion that N1P2 was a wolf?The only reason I can see for a purposeful blank is that they thought they might need the extra 0.5 vote to help ensure they survived the lynch.
Quote from: Oricorio on July 01, 2024, 04:55:44 PMAre you confident in THC not being the seer?As confidence as I can reasonably be under the circumstances. If he was the seer, I don't think the wolves would've known that though, and would've been a lot more likely to not fakeclaim or even make the wrong seer claim.
Quote from: SpecsFlyer17 on July 01, 2024, 04:49:26 PMBecause BDS already spilled it back in his thought-post.Re: that post, I figured it was info one or both of the wolves already knew whether Oricorio was a wolf or was a painted human so no use tripping myself and others up by using unclear terms.
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